Roadmap-oriented and ecosystem-oriented
The way programmers should study is changing.
Until about the 1990s, the IT industry had a long-term plan called "road map. It also encouraged planned skill development on the part of technicians.
Roadmap is a guideline for skill development
I have a feeling that those who have experienced this period still think about studying programmers as if they had this "roadmap".
The Age of [ecosystem
Various types of players, who eat each other and live in harmony with each other, make individual decisions for their own sake, and technology develops through their interactions.
The "roadmap" is about reading their intent, but the "ecosystem" has no intent.
I am the one with the intent, and I cannot set policy until my intent is clear.
Normal people should go down the middle in the "roadmap" and avoid the middle in the "ecosystem"
The "ecosystem" is more like a red ocean at the center, with a blue ocean at the periphery where survival is easier. To take the high road in the "ecosystem," one must have extraordinary strengths that others do not have. The roadmap, the ecosystem, and the environment in which we are placed are changing.
Avoid being stuck in one way of thinking by realizing
It's not the roadmap orientation itself that makes sense, it's the understanding that "it used to be roadmap oriented, but that era is over, and now it's ecosystem oriented."
Both roadmap-oriented and ecosystem-oriented have always existed, and their weights have shifted with the times.
Default is the ecosystem
It's a race when the S curve slope of the technology is large. Larger companies have a chance to win with a "control the surroundings by showing a roadmap" strategy.
Get caught up in that success story.
Continuing with the same strategy is not beneficial at a time when the S-curve is saturating
Mr. Sagan says it's a vertical generation gap, but I think there are horizontal cracks in the IT industry as well because sever is across industries --- @naoya_ito Monastery and Bazaar from a user's point of view. I think we are talking about risk-reward here and not generalizable > "Normal people should go down the middle in the 'roadmap' and avoid the middle in the 'ecosystem'" --- @kazuho -----
Great insight, by realizing that there are two kinds we can avoid getting caught up in one way of thinking or the other. Of course, understanding that "it used to be roadmap oriented, but that era is over and now it's ecosystem oriented" is itself stuck in the roadmap orientation. It is appropriate to understand that both roadmap-oriented and ecosystem-oriented have existed for a long time, and that their weight has shifted with the times. Perhaps the default is ecosystem, where the big companies have a chance to win with a "control the surroundings by showing a roadmap" strategy because it is a race when the slope of the technology S-curve is large. That continuing with the same strategy by getting caught up in that success story is not beneficial during a time when the S-curve is becoming saturated. I remember reading something similar about 15 years ago, when the phrase "Age of Racing, Age of Games" was used to describe the situation. ---
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